由於二孩政策 中國人口峯值將在2028年達14.5億
A senior family planning official said last Saturday that due to the introduction of the two-child policy, China's population is predicted to peak at about 1.45 billion by the end of 2028, three years later than expected.
一名計劃生育部門高級官員於上週六表示，由於二孩政策的出臺，中國人口預計將於2028年迎來14.5億的峯值，比預期晚了三年。China will have an estimated over 17.5 million newborns in 2016, roughly equal to the number in 2000 and coinciding with predictions made after the introduction of two-child policy in January, Wang Peian, deputy head of the National Health and Family Planning Commission (NHFPC), told a conference on population and development, reported.
據中新網報道，中國國家衛生和計劃生育委員會副主任王培安在一場人口與發展會議上表示，中國2016年新生兒數量預計將超過1750萬，大致相當於2000年前後的出生的人口規模，與今年一月二孩政策出臺後的預測相一致。
"According to the predictions, if China kept the previous strict family planning policy, the population would peak at 1.415 billion in 2025," said Zhai Zhenwu, a demographer and president of the School of Sociology and Population Studies under Renmin University of China.
中國人民大學人口統計學家、社會學與人口研究學院院長翟振武表示：“預測結果顯示，如果維持原來較嚴格的生育政策不變，總人口規模將在2025年時就迎來峯值，達到14.15億人。”
But the two-child policy will delay the peak until 2028 and it will reach the larger size of 1.45 billion.
但是二孩政策將把這一人口峯值延遲到2028年，屆時將達到更大規模的14.5億人。The two-child policy, on one hand, will make China's population peak higher, but on the other hand the policy will postpone the population inflection point and slow down the speed at which the population shrinks, according to Zhai.
據翟振武表示，一方面二孩政策會使得中國的人口高峯值更高，但是另一方面該政策也將推遲人口拐點出現的時間、放緩人口減少的速度。China had a population of 1.37 billion at the end of 2015, up 6.8 million from the end of 2014, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).
根據國家統計局公佈的數據顯示，2015年底中國人口共計約爲13.7億，比2014年底時增加了680萬人。
