標準普爾：美國跌落“財政懸崖”的概率爲15%
S&P: 15 Percent Chance US Goes Off 'Fiscal Cliff'
標準普爾：美國跌落“財政懸崖”的概率爲15%
Standard & Poor's on Thursday said it sees an increasing chance that the U.S. economy will go over the “fiscal cliff” next year, though policymakers will probably compromise in time to avoid that outcome.
週四，標準普爾（標普）公佈的報告指出，美國經濟在明年跌落“財政懸崖”的可能性卻越來越大，不過美國的決策者們可能會及時做出讓步，來避免這樣的結果。
Analysts at the credit ratings agency now see about a 15 percent chance that political brinkmanship will push the U.S. economy — the world's largest — over the fiscal cliff.
該信用評級機構的分析人士日前指出，作爲世界最大的經濟體，美國因政治邊緣政策而跌落“財政懸崖”的可能性約爲15%。
“The most likely scenario, in our view, is that policymakers reach sufficient political compromise in time to avoid most, if not all, potential economic effects of the cliff,” S&P analysts wrote.
標普的分析師們這樣寫道，“我們認爲，最可能發生的是，決策者們或可達成充分的政治讓步，這樣即便不能完全化解，也至少可以避免大部分因財政危機而引發的潛在的不良經濟效應。”
The automatic spending cuts coupled with significant tax increases in January could take an estimated $600 billion out of the U.S. economy and push it into recession, according to the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office's assessment of the fiscal cliff.
根據無黨派國會預算辦公室對財政危機的評估，明年一月自動生效的開支削減和稅賦大幅增加的措施，將會使美國在經濟方面預計損失6000億美元。同時也意味着美國將會被拖入經濟衰退的泥沼之中。
