社科院報告稱全面二孩不是終點 未來可能再放寬生育限制
The universal two-child policy "should not be the end of the family-planning policy adjustment", and further relaxation is expected to ease the population challenges China is facing, according to experts.
有關專家近日聲稱，全面二孩政策“不應該成爲生育政策調整的終點”，要緩解我國面臨的人口挑戰，政策還需進一步放寬。"A dwindling workforce population and an aging population are inevitable in China, and a further adjustment of the family-planning policy is needed, based on consistent monitoring of births," according to the Green Book of Population and Labor 2016, which was released by the Population and Labor Economics Institute of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences last Wednesday.
中國社科院人口與勞動經濟研究所上週三發佈的《2016人口與勞動綠皮書》指出：“我國勞動力人口數量萎縮和人口老齡化問題不可避免，需要持續監測生育行爲，進一步調整生育政策。”
The latest family-planning policy, which allows all couples to have two children, will not result in a big population increase, due to reasons such as a reduced willingness to give birth and the increased ages of eligible women, said Zhang Chewei, director of the institute and an author of the book.
中國社科院人口與勞動經濟研究所所長、該書作者張車偉稱，由於符合政策的婦女生育意願降低、年齡上升等原因，近年出臺的全面二孩政策並不會帶來人口數量的大幅增加。
As a result, the universal two-child policy will not effectively ease the social and economic challenges China is facing, such as a reduced workforce and a population that is rapidly aging, he said.
他表示，結果就是全面二孩政策不能有效地緩解我國面臨的如勞動力人口萎縮和人口迅速老齡化等社會和經濟方面的挑戰。"Judging from the experiences of some other countries, with people continuously delaying marriage and pregnancy, it is possible that Chinese people's willingness to give birth will continue to decrease," Zhang said.
張車偉說道：“從其他國家以往的經驗來看，隨着人們婚姻和懷孕的不斷推遲，中國人生育意願有可能仍將繼續降低。”"China may need to further relax its family-planning policy in the future, and it may even abolish restrictions on birth."
“我國可能在未來需要進一步放寬計劃生育政策，甚至可能取消關於生育的諸多限制。”
