美聯儲官員稱6月加息條件已成熟
The US is on the verge of meeting most of the economic conditions the Federal Reserve has set to increase interest rates next month, according to a member of the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee.
負責制定利率的聯邦公開市場委員會(FOMC)的一名成員表示，美國即將滿足美聯儲(Federal Reserve)下月加息的大部分經濟條件。
Eric Rosengren, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, told the Financial Times he was getting ready to back tighter monetary policy after financial and economic indicators swung in a positive direction after the Fed’s policy meeting in March.
波士頓聯儲(Federal Reserve Bank of Boston)行長埃裏克•羅森格倫(Eric Rosengren)向英國《金融時報》表示，在3月美聯儲政策會議後金融和經濟指標向着積極方向發展的情況下，他已經準備好支持收緊貨幣政策。
Until last week markets were putting extremely low odds on a summer rate increase, in part because of the dovish tone of Fed chair Janet Yellen’s last speech two months ago. That picture was transformed on Wednesday, as the Fed minutes from its April rate-setting meeting suggested it was preparing the ground for a second interest rate increase following the quarter point rise in December.
直到上週市場仍然認爲夏天加息的可能性極低，部分是由於美聯儲主席珍妮特•耶倫(Janet Yellen)兩個月前演講的鴿派調子。這一局面在上週三扭轉，那天美聯儲發佈4月議息會議的會議紀要，似乎表明繼去年12月加息25個基點之後，它已經準備好第二次加息。
“I want to be sensitive to how the data comes in, but I would say that most of the conditions that were laid out in the minutes, as of right now, seem to be . . . on the verge of broadly being met,” said Mr Rosengren, who has a vote on rates this year as part of the regular rotation of regional Fed presidents on the FOMC.
“我想對最新數據保持敏感，但是我會說，就目前而言，會議紀要列出的大部分條件，似乎……即將大致得到滿足，”羅森格倫表示。今年，作爲FOMC地區聯儲行長定期輪值制度的一部分，他對利息決定擁有投票權。
To justify a move at its next policy meeting in June, the Fed set itself three tests: to see additional signs of a rebound in the economy in the second quarter, further strengthening in the jobs market and for inflation to carry on towards the Fed’s 2 per cent goal. While policymakers are divided over whether these conditions will all be met by next month, Mr Rosengren said he saw the preconditions for a June rise falling into place.
對於在6月下一次政策會議上採取加息行動，美聯儲給自己設置了3根標杆：觀察到第二季度經濟反彈的更多跡象、就業市場進一步加強、以及通脹率繼續向着美聯儲2%的目標趨近。儘管政策制定者對於下月是否會全部滿足這些條件看法不一，但是羅森格倫稱，在他看來，6月加息的先決條件正在逐漸到位。
