新興市場呼籲美聯儲儘早加息
Emerging market central bankers have urged the US Federal Reserve to raise rates sooner rather later in order to end the uncertainty over Fed policy that has pummeled stock markets and currencies in recent weeks.
新興市場央行人士敦促美聯儲(Fed)儘早加息以結束美聯儲政策的不確定性。近幾周這種不確定性已沉重打擊股市和匯市。
“We think US monetary policymakers have got confused about what to do. The uncertainty has created the turmoil,” said Mirza Adityaswara, senior deputy governor at Indonesia’s central bank.
印尼央行高級副行長Mirza Adityaswara表示：“我們認爲，美國貨幣政策制定者已不知道該怎麼做。這種不確定性已引發市場動盪。”
“The situation will recover the sooner the Fed makes a decision and then gives expectation to the market that they [will] increase [rates] one or two times and then stop.”
“如果美聯儲做決定的時間提前一些——並在之後引導市場預期他們（會）在加息一兩次後停下，局面將會好轉。”
His comments contrast with warnings from the World Bank that a decision by the Fed to raise rates for the first time since 2006 at its policy meeting next week could destabilise emerging markets (EMs).
他的言論與世界銀行(WB)的警告形成了對比。世行警告稱，如果美聯儲在下週政策會議上做出2006年以來的首次加息決定，可能會破壞新興市場的穩定。
The bank’s chief economist Kaushik Basu warned that the Fed should keep rates on hold next week to avoid “panic and turmoil” in EMs.
世行首席經濟學家考希克巴蘇(Kaushik Basu)警告稱，下週美聯儲應保持利率不變，以避免新興市場出現“恐慌和動盪”。
Anxiety over Fed policy has combined with an economic slowdown in China and falling commodity prices to rock EMs in recent months, causing sharp falls in their stock markets and increased capital outflows.
最近幾個月，對美聯儲政策的焦慮，再加上中國經濟放緩以及大宗商品價格的下跌，令新興市場動盪不止，導致它們的股市急劇下跌、資金外流增加。
Julio Velarde, Peru’s central bank governor, said most EMs wanted the Fed to raise rates “as soon as possible”.
祕魯央行行長鬍里奧貝拉爾德(Julio Velarde)表示，多數新興市場希望美聯儲“儘早”加息。
“The uncertainty about when the Fed hike will happen is causing more damage than the Fed hike will itself,” he said during a visit to Seoul.
他在訪問首爾期間表示：“圍繞美聯儲何時加息的不確定性造成的損失，正在超過美聯儲加息本身。”
The comments echo those made by Agustín Carstens, Mexico’s top central banker, who told Reuters at a meeting of monetary officials in Jackson Hole last month that a Fed rate rise indicating a stronger US economy would be “for us, very good news”.
這些言論呼應了墨西哥央行行長奧古斯丁慍斯滕斯(Agustín Carstens)的說法。上個月，在傑克遜霍爾(Jackson Hole)的一次央行官員會議上，他曾向路透社(Reuters)表示，“對於我們來說”，美聯儲加息舉措表明美國經濟走強，這將會是“極大的好消息”。
At the same conference, Raghuram Rajan, governor of India’s central bank, told the Wall Street Journal: “It’s preferable to have a move early on and an advertised, slow move up rather than the Fed be forced to tighten more significantly down the line.”
在同一場會議上，印度央行行長拉古拉姆拉詹(Raghuram Rajan)向《華爾街日報》(WSJ)表示：“寧可早一點開始，並在充分通知前提下緩慢加息，也不要讓美聯儲之後被迫以更大幅度收緊貨幣政策。”
